Rethinking the Role of
Bayesianism
in the Age of Modern AI

26-30 October 2026

Edinburgh, Scotland, UK

About

Following the workshops held at Dagstuhl in 2024 and MBZUAI in 2025, the third workshop on Rethinking the Role of Bayesianism in the Age of Modern AI will take place in Edinburgh in October 2026. This workshop will concurrently serve as the inaugural meeting of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis section on Bayesian AI. The gathering will bring together researchers exploring the frontiers of Bayesian machine learning and deep learning in a collaborative atmosphere.

As the scale of this workshop grows, we aim to maintain the diversity of opinions and approaches that have characterised the previous events. Postgraduate students and early career researchers are especially encouraged to participate in this unique opportunity to engage with leaders in the field and discover future research directions.

Purpose

Despite the recent success of AI systems using large-scale deep learning, these systems still fall short in terms of their reliability and trustworthiness. They often lack the ability to estimate their own uncertainty in a calibrated way, encode meaningful prior knowledge, avoid catastrophic failures, and reason about their environments to avoid such failures.

Bayesian deep learning has harboured the promise of achieving these desiderata by combining the statistical foundations of Bayesian inference with the practically successful engineering solutions of deep learning methods. However, compared to its promise, BDL methods often do not live up to expectations in terms of real-world impact.

This workshop aims to rethink and redefine the promises and challenges of Bayesian approaches, elucidate which Bayesian methods might prevail against their non-Bayesian competitors, and identify key application areas where Bayes can shine. The event is planned to promote discussion in a collaborative atmosphere and encourage deep exchange, new ideas, and informal collaboration across intersecting areas of research.

Organising committee

Esmeralda S. Whitammer
University of Edinburgh
Sara Wade
University of Edinburgh
Vincent Fortuin
TU Nuremberg
Helmholtz AI
Konstantina Palla
Spotify Research
Theodore Papamarkou
PolyShape
NTU Athens

Registration

Registration is now closed as we have reached the maximum capacity.

Data you submit in the registration form and travel/poster form will be used for communicating with you about the workshop. Personal information will remain in secure cloud storage and will not be shared with anyone outwith the organising committee without your consent, except for purposes directly related to the organisation of the event (e.g., printing badges, providing information to caterers).

By registering, you agree to adhere to the ISBA Code of Conduct.

Refunds wil be issued until 15 September. To cancel your registration, please contact the organisers.

Fees

The generosity of our sponsors allows us to reduce registration fees. Surplus income will be used to provide financial support for participants and to fund the organisation of future Bayesian AI events.

Registration fees are reduced for students and for members of the ISBA Bayesian AI section. It is possible to register as a section member by purchasing or renewing a membership in ISBA.

Student Non-student
Section member £100 £250
Non-section member £150 £300
Some financial support is available for those for whom fees are a barrier to participation. Please contact the organisers if this applies to you.

Programme

The scientific programme will consist of invited talks, guided discussions, lightning talks, and a poster session for junior participants.

Topics

The workshop will cover a broad range of topics at the interaction of Bayesian methods and modern AI, including:

Schedule

A PDF version of the schedule is available here.

Legend Talk Discussion Networking / break
Monday 26.10 Tuesday 27.10 Wednesday 28.10 Thursday 29.10 Friday 30.10
Early Registration (8:30–9:15)
9:15 Welcome Nico Daheim
Variational Learning for LLMs
Chris Holmes
From Prediction to Inference: A Generative Model Perspective
Yingzhen Li
What would Bayes do for next-gen neural network architecture design?
9:30 Amos Storkey
(Con)Sequential Bayes: Online Bayesian inference in the age of in-context learning
Sightseeing activity
(gather 9:30 at Informatics Forum)
9:45 Ioar Casado-Telletxea
On the asymptotic behaviour of α-divergence-based generalized posteriors
10:00 Chris Nemeth
Conditioning Gaussian Processes on Almost Anything
10:15 Coffee break Coffee break and photo Coffee break
10:30
10:45 Mariia Vladimirova
Debiasing and Auditing Generative Models
ISBA section meeting Thang Bui
Generative models for sequential black-box optimisation
Coffee break
11:00
11:15 Tamara Broderick
What Bayes (and stats) can do for AI: vignettes from assistive technology, air pollution mitigation, and LLM leaderboards
Teaching Bayesian methods in the age of AI
(Ma, Mira, Oates, Rockova, van der Wilk, Wade)
11:30 Michael Gutmann
Bayesian design without Bayes
Veronika Rockova
Title TBC
11:45
12:00
12:15 Lunch Lunch (on your own) Lunch Lunch
12:30 Lunch
12:45
13:00
13:15
13:30
13:45 Dmitry Vetrov
Hidden Thermodynamics in Deep Neural Networks
Tom Griffiths
Bayes and language models, three ways
Mark van der Wilk
Title TBC
Jes Frellsen
From Gradients to ‘Reasoning’ Traces: Uncertainty in Language Models
14:00
14:15
14:30 Lightning talks Isabel Valera
Integrating Over the Unobserved: Bayesian Reasoning with Structured Latent Variables
Siddharth Swaroop
Adapting knowledge using a Bayesian lens
Julyan Arbel
Empowering Bayes with sources of uncertainty
14:45
15:00
15:15 Coffee break Coffee break Coffee break
15:30 Coffee break
15:45 Theory and practice: Is Bayes useful in deep learning and applications?
(Borovitskiy, Palacios, Rainforth, Rügamer, Fortuin)
Certification, monitoring, benchmarking, and testing
(de Carvalho, Harikumar, Y. Li, Williams, Gouk)
Probabilistic machine learning and LLMs / foundation models
(Lahlou, Lapata, Siddharth, Storkey, Whitammer)
16:00 Kevin Murphy
Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world models
16:15
16:30
16:45
17:00 Poster session and reception
(17:00–19:00)
17:15
17:30
17:45
Late Dinner at Playfair Library
(18:00–21:00)
Ceilidh at Teviot
(19:00–22:00)

Social events

The following social and networking events are planned:

Confirmed participants

Eduardo Adame
University of Edinburgh
Julyan Arbel
Inria Grenoble
Pablo G. Arce
ICMAT-CSIC
Aradhika Bagchi
University of Edinburgh
Cecilia Balocchi
University of Edinburgh
Vianey Leos Barajas
University of Toronto
Ramiro Barrantes
University of Vermont
Slava (Viacheslav) Borovitskiy
University of Edinburgh
Tamara Broderick
MIT
Paul Bürkner
TU Dortmund University
Thang Bui
Australian National University
Michael Camilleri
University of Edinburgh
Antonio Canale
University of Padova
Michele Caprio
University of Warwick
Arran Carter
University of Edinburgh
Ioar Casado-Telletxea
Centre for AI Fundamentals, University of Manchester
Tommie Catanach
Sandia National Laboratories
Mario Chacón-Falcón
ICMAT-CSIC
Sanghyeok Choi
University of Edinburgh
Daniel Corrales
ICMAT-CSIC
Nico Carlsen Daheim
TU Darmstadt
Miguel de Carvalho
University of Edinburgh
Vaidehi Dixit
University of Nottingham
Manisha Dubey
University of Edinburgh
Jed Duersch
CRIL, Université d'Artois
Lior Fox
University College London
Jes Frellsen
Technical University of Denmark
Henry Gouk
University of Edinburgh
Tom Griffiths
Princeton University
Nils Grünefeld
ITU Copenhagen
Michael Gutmann
University of Edinburgh
Daniel Habermann
TU Dortmund University
Rita Hao
University of Edinburgh
Haripriya Harikumar
University of Manchester
Samo Hromadka
Gatsby Unit, UCL
Zhuoyue Huang
University of Oxford
Brian Jauw
University of Edinburgh
Svenja Jedhoff
TU Dortmund University
Dmitry Kangin
University of Manchester
Nadja Klein
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Shennice Knight
University of Glasgow
Till Korten
Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR)
Stephan Kostov
University of Edinburgh
Simon Kucharsky
TU Dortmund University
Lars Kühmichel
TU Dortmund University
Salem Lahlou
MBZUAI
Juan Manuel Morales
University of Glasgow
Johnny MyungWon Lee
University of Edinburgh
Amanda Lenzi
University of Edinburgh
Peter Levy
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Lily Qing Li
University of Edinburgh
Wentao Li
University of Manchester
Yingzhen Li
Imperial College London
Yu Chen Lim-Hitchings
Forensisches Institut Zürich
Si Liu
ICMAT-CSIC
Xingchi Liu
STFC-UKRI
Li Ma
University of Chicago
Antonietta Mira
Università della Svizzera italiana, Insubria University
Aayush Mishra
TU Dortmund University
Daniele Montagnani
Università di Pavia
Kevin Murphy
Google DeepMind
James Myles
Imperial College London
Siddharth N.
University of Edinburgh
Chris Nemeth
Lancaster University
Bao Khanh Nguyen
University of Edinburgh
Chris Oates
Newcastle University
Hans Olischläger
TU Dortmund University
Yuta Ono
Imperial College London
Brooks Paige
University College London
Julia Palacios
Stanford University
Vincent Pauline
TUM / MCML
Levon Pogosian
Simon Fraser University
Tatiana Portella
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
Jixiang Qing
Lancaster University
Tom Rainforth
University of Oxford
Subramanian Ramamoorthy
University of Edinburgh
Jordan Richards
University of Edinburgh
Robert Richardson
Brigham Young University
Andrew Ricketts
University of Edinburgh
Veronika Rockova
University of Chicago
David Rügamer
LMU Munich, MCML
Tamilarasan Sabapathy
Science and Technology Facilities Council, UKRI
Matthias Sachs
Lancaster University
Ben Sanati
University of Edinburgh
Miguel Santos Pascual
ICMAT-CSIC
Steve Schmerler
Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR)
Torben Sell
University of Edinburgh
Marcin Sendera
NASK - National Research Institute, Jagiellonian University
Sophia Sklaviadis
Instituto Superior Tecnico, Lisbon
Andras Szecsenyi
University of Edinburgh
Amos Storkey
University of Edinburgh
Advaith Sujith
University of Manchester
Michael Sutherland
University of Edinburgh
Siddharth Swaroop
University College London
Kirill Tamogashev
University of Edinburgh
Isabel Valera
Saarland University
Mark van der Wilk
University of Oxford
Dmitry Vetrov
Constructor University
Pedro Campos Vieira
University of Porto, University of Edinburgh
Mariia Vladimirova
Criteo
Dominik Wielath
Pompeu Fabra University
Chris Williams
University of Edinburgh
Sulman Younas
University of Edinburgh
Lena Zellinger
University of Edinburgh
Rui-Yang Zhang
Lancaster University

Local and travel information

Events will be held at the Informatics Forum (10 Crichton Street, Edinburgh EH8 9AB). The Forum is located on the University of Edinburgh's central campus, adjacent to the historic Old Town and a 15-minute walk from Waverley railway station.

Daily lunch and twice-daily coffee/snacks will be provided. A light social programme is planned, including an opening reception, conference dinner, and local sightseeing activities.

Travel, accommodation, and caring support

We plan to offer limited travel and accommodation support, with priority given to junior participants and those from underrepresented groups. Applications for support are now closed.

Support for caring costs is also available thanks to a grant from the Heilbronn Institute. Please contact the organisers if this applies to you.

Contact

For questions to the organisers, please contact Esmeralda Whitammer <esmeralda.whitammer [at] ed.ac.uk>.

Sponsors